"Goldschmidt has plus raw power and a pretty good idea of the strike zone, which should combine to give him a pretty healthy MLB career as at least a solid backup. Whether he's more than that depends on whether his fringy bat speed will play enough to let him get to that power -- and with a fair number of soft-tossers kicking around the National League, he might be able to make it work. He's a below-average defender at first who might have to DH, and could end up as more of a right-handed platoon/bench bat who starts against lefties. Arizona has gotten just a .241/.312/.398 line from its first basemen this year, and I do think Goldschmidt could exceed that low bar if given the chance."Well, it does say he should be at least a solid backup in the Majors but I suppose there has to be a reason why even Baseball America said nay-nay to Goldschmidt as a Top 100 prospect and even as a top 10 Diamondbacks hope.
Scouts claim he has a giant hole in his swing and if this is true, the tech-savvy Major League pitching industry will find it. I guess we could hold him up against Ron Kittle who also put up monster numbers at the age of 23 and 24 and see that Kittle himself became a solid backup. And if Goldschmidt has any statistical weakness (because I have never seen him actually play), its that, like many power hitters before him, he strikes out a lot.
Goldschmidt is also a smart guy (apparently). He compiled a GPA of 3.87 in Finance and was named the Southland League's Student Athlete of the year in 2009.
I don't know if he's going to be a superstar but his ability to adapt to the next level, his consistent power and batting average and his ability to know the strike zone don't strike me as skills that would make him a solid backup.
Prediction: Goldschmidt struggles early in Arizona, striking out too much for the pundits, shows occasional power, but hits for low average and forgets the strike zone. He starts next year in AAA, tears it up, comes back up in late May and never looks back and becomes an Adam Dunn-type hitter with better average.